Monday, November 16, 2015

Perception and Speculation

Question: Were WWII, 9/11, Putin and ISIS preventable? Can computer models and algorithms be used to greater effect?

During/after Vietnam, our government was slammed for keeping troops in-country so long. Anti-war-ers bullied returning troops! Now our government gets slammed if we leave prematurely.  Even men and women who are/were engaged have differences of opinions. I thank God they do. Ones who remain guarded keep everyone alert. The others keep us from over-reacting.

Long-term consequences are anyone's guess. Castro started as an up-standing man--look what happened. And who would've suspected the Reagan and Gorbachev relationship?  Hippy ideals and technology worldwide impacted their ways of thinking and respect for each other.  Now it’s back to when one side is kind, an opposing side takes advantage.

One of my husband’s groups focused on pertinent questions. Answers were only springboards;  responses and results were monitored constantly.

1) When is enough, enough--body count of our dead?  size of territory captured and contained?  when munitions become scarce? when public outcry reaches a certain level?

2) What’s involved to keep our troops supplied and safe? Are civilians supportive?  When does sending war-time needs abroad make our homeland vulnerable?

3) What about transparency?  Open comments about pull-out dates or troops and munitions being sent in or taken out help the enemy know our intentions and locations.

4) What are our rules of engagement when the enemy plays by rules our troops have never seen the likes of? Other cultures have different levels of values, including life and death.  How much restraint must our troops use in order to "walk our talk" versus throwing our own values to the wind to "get 'er done?"

At brain-storming meetings, even the brightest minds and experienced bodies could not agree 100%.  But all had experienced more than one rodeo and could attest that no two engagements are the same.  It is hard to rely on past experience or current algorithms and theories. Our leaders need to know how much human energy we have, what our stockpile of materials is, how long we can afford to remain engaged, plans we have for within our own borders; turn a deaf ear to the public, read/listen to Intel and witness of troops and others; let people savvy in warfare formulate the best strategies, insights, actions. 


Copyright © November 2015 by Maeke Ermarth
                   Cheyenne, WY

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